| Projected Record | 4-13 |
| Weighted DVOA Offense* (2024) | 20th |
| Weighted DVOA Defense (2024) | 15th |
| Early Down Yards (2024) | 1st Down – 5.7 (tied-5th), 2nd Down – 4.5 (tied-25th) |
| Explosive Play Rate* (2024) | Offense – 8th (Run 4th, Pass 12th), Defense – 23rd (Run 21st, Pass 21st) |
| Red Zone TD Rate | 53.85% (23rd) |
| Turnover Differential | -4 (19th) |
| Key Additions | Daniel Jones QB, Neville Gallimore IDL, Anthony Walker Jr. LB, Chad Muma LB, Charvarius Ward CB, Xavien Howard CB, Mekhi Blackmon CB, Duke Shelley CB, Cam Bynum S, Spencer Shrader K |
| Key Departures | Joe Flacco QB, Trey Sermon RB, Kylen Granson TE, Will Fries IOL, Ryan Kelly IOL, Mark Glowinski IOL, Raekwon Davis IDL, Taven Bryan IDL, Dayo Odeyingbo EDGE, E.J. Speed LB, JuJu Brents CB, Julian Blackmon S, Ronnie Harrison S, Matt Gay K |
| Rookies to Watch | Tyler Warren TE, JT Tuimoloau EDGE, Justin Walley CB |
Players on IR: Salvon Ahmed RB, D.J. Montgomery WR, Jack Wilson OT, Blake Freeland OT, Jaylon Carlies LB, Jacob Phillips LB, Justin Walley CB, Hunter Wohler S, Maddux Trujillo K
Quarterback
The Indianapolis Colts are fucking with my previews by refusing to name a starter: will it be the young and awful Anthony Richardson or the older and awful Daniel Jones? After starting the preseason week 1 with an injury exit, it seems Richardson may finally have played his way onto the bench even when healthy. It didn’t help that he missed the offseason program with an AC joint issue in his shoulder or tapped himself out of a game after a scramble last year. Richardson will go down as an unmitigated disaster: he completed barely 50% of his passes in an era where football couldn’t be easier on completion percentages and with a head coach who once called plays that elevated Jalen Hurts to greatness. With the best kind of coaching and the most favorable era for passing QBs with his level of mobility, Richardson put up 11 TDs to 13 INTs and a career 67.8 QB rating. I have to write all of this because, shit, he might be the Week 1 starter [PRESENT DAY NOTE: He is not] and I may be deleting my next paragraph about Jones. The side to Richardson that must be considered is his rushing ability, where he put up 499 yards on a 5.8 yards per carry average, trailing just an elite Lamar Jackson and the heady Caleb Williams on that average. His 6 TDs on the ground were tied for 4th among QBs, with Hurts and Josh Allen skyrocketing above the rest of the pack. Still, Richardson is not a gamechanger with his legs because teams don’t have to worry about his arm. Peak Cam Newton, who Richardson was compared to entering the NFL, didn’t throw for less than 3000 yards for his first 8 seasons before injuries sidelined him. Richardson is the same big guy run style, and the same injury concern, with an arm that sends the simplest passes sailing over his receivers’ heads. He makes reads that boggle the mind. The technique and the instincts are absent. He, of course, still beat Miami despite throwing 10/24 for 129 yards last year and running terribly inefficiently for 56 yards on 4 per carry. What a nightmare 2024 was. Anthony Weaver has Richardson’s number, and I can’t help but hope he starts.
The context for Richardson, the 2023 4th overall pick, is highly important because his lack of success has put the Colts in a massive hole. A high pick’s rookie contract is typically the time to maximize the money spent on the rest of the team because a rookie has a cost-controlled, team-friendly deal. Richardson had $6.2, $7.7, and $9.3 million hits to this point in time. Had he been Cam Newton reincarnated, the Colts would be discussing the next two years as Super Bowl contenders. Indeed, the Colts spent accordingly, rewarding players up and down the roster with big money. Instead, this year they dug in the coffers for Daniel Jones, guaranteeing him more than even Richardson. He got $13.2 million after getting cut last year and ending up as a Vikings backup. His starter in Minnesota (Sam Darnold) and Justin Fields were the only QBs paid more during free agency: Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson both got less in their contract to be the assured starters in their new homes. Why pay a backup that much? Because he isn’t the backup. Jones did his absolute best for the Giants last year, with his best game coming in a dogfight Week 9 game against the NFC Championship participant Washington Commanders, where he went 20/26 for 174 yards and 2 TDs (3 of the incompletions were charted drops, and another was batted at the line). Despite the solid outing, the Giants lost to the Panthers the next week in an overtime debacle, plunging them to 2-8 and leading to a benching to protect Jones from a $23 million injury payout on his big deal. That big deal, incidentally, hurt more because signing Jones meant letting Saquon Barkley walk on over to Philadelphia to promptly be the best player on a Super Bowl team. Jones, the Joe Shlabotnik of the Big Apple, was on the New York Post cover for all the wrong reasons, and processed his benching by asking for a release and riding pine with a hot offensive head coach in Minnesota.
Jones is a few years ahead of what the Colts have in Richardson, and he offers some potential intrigue for the rest of the team: for one, the team will be able to use a receiving corps that is headlined by Michael Pittman Jr. after he got a bigger contract. He can make Shane Steichen’s route concepts look far better by getting to the right read. For Jones, the issue has always been one of elevating his team rather than avoiding boneheaded plays: he throws a pretty ball and generally does exactly what is asked of him. As an offensive coach who believes they can scheme up open targets, Jones is an obvious choice between the two candidates. The problem is that Jones takes forever to throw the ball for no reason: he reminds you sometimes of Chad Henne, stonefaced standing in a collapsing pocket, seemingly oblivious to the deteriorating conditions all around him. He famously spent 2022 taking more than 3 seconds to throw and still staying near the top of the league in checkdowns. Quietly, Jones spent 2023 and 2024 getting the ball out much more quickly, and scrambling less, but stayed mired in Giants malaise, throwing 10 TDs and 13 INTs over the two years. No, Daniel Jones is not the answer, but he’s the best bet to start Week 1 and Miami will need to make sure he gets bothered behind the best OL he has played with in his career (not saying much, the Giants are just that bad). He will also check down the ball frequently, and Miami needs to ensure they tackle and play disciplined to ensure they don’t hand the Colts a lead that Jones is a much better bet to hold onto than Richardson.
Coaching
Shane Steichen remains the head guy in Indianapolis, and like Mike McDaniel, his glowing reputation is starting to wear thin within the fan base, but he’s still formidable in his own right. Of all offensive play designers that I watched in 2023 outside of the Core Four of the Shanahan tree, Shane Steichen was bar none the absolute best in the league. And, if I’m being totally honest given the personnel constraints, he might have sneakily been better than a few of those Core Four. Steichen’s 2023 Colts were 13th in DVOA despite four injury-plagued games with Richardson. They were in the playoff hunt until the very last minute despite a tough AFC field, the early-season excellent record of the 2023 Jaguars, and the late-season surge by the 2023 Texans. These are direct results of that rare thing in the NFL: a coach who tailored his scheme specifically to his players. As much as the Shanahan guys are vaunted, how has Kyle Shanahan or Mike McDaniel looked with a backup in the past? In Week 5 of 2023, Gardner Minshew was called to take over and, in a blink of an eye, the RPO speed-based and deep ball oriented offense was gone for a quick passing and inside run heavy scheme. The RPOs stayed in 2024: according to Stathead’s counting mechanism, the Colts ran 124 RPOs, good for 4th most in the league. This is, of course, the offensive coordinator who called a league-record 305 RPOs in 2021 with the Eagles. But 2024 was an entirely different story overall. Joe Flacco was not a rags-to-riches redemption story in the way that both he and Minshew were in 2023, putting up just a 90.5 passer rating with 12 TDs and 7 INTs in his 6 starts. The Colts again ran up the RPO game, ranking 2nd in the league (171 plays, 96 of them passes) behind an absurd Eagles attack (274, only 75 passes). The RPOs were efficient, netting 947 pass yards, most in the league. Warren Sharp points out that Steichen still has his strengths: his teams were #5 in yards per play and #7 in EPA per play in the 1st quarter over his two years. Even if teams adjust to him and the offense slows down, the dazzling RPO game allowed the Colts to start fast in both 2023 and 2024. Additionally, the team is 14-8 in one score games under Steichen. There is reason to believe that there’s still something there from the playcaller who rose to stardom in elevating Jalen Hurts in Philadelphia, a blueprint the Super Bowl Champs still used. Without a QB and with a change in ownership after Jim Irsay’s passing, even the good things above might not be enough to save Steichen.
With a young offensive staff, Steichen took the Sean McVay tactic toward his DC hire in 2023: Gus Bradley was 57 years old and had been a DC (if not a head coach) since 2009, and was known as the architect of the Cover 3 defense that catapulted the Legion of Boom to legendary status in Seattle. Bradley was the DC in 2022, Frank Reich’s last year with the team, and Steichen retained him, saying at the time “He’s been there, done that” and discussing the merits of bouncing ideas off of a former head coach. The problem is that, unlike Wade Phillips with McVay in the early Rams days, Bradley was not very good. The Colts went from 16th in yards allowed to 24th and spent another year in the bottom half of the league in rush yards allowed. The Colts also spent a second straight year 28th in points allowed, a truly bad metric. Bradley stayed on for 2024, even with these warts, with the GM Chris Ballard falling on the sword and blaming himself for investment in a young secondary in 2023. The secondary stayed largely the same for the Colts in 2024, and the Colts actually saw improvement, moving to league average 15th in DVOA from 26th in 2023. The defense simply was not disruptive, however: the Colts remained in the bottom half of the league in pressure rate, tied for 26th in sacks with 32 after playing above their skis with 51 in 2023, and didn’t blitz at all. It looked vanilla, it felt vanilla, and when the Colts finished 8-9 after squandering their final chance at the playoffs by surrendering 45 points to the GIANTS of all teams, it became clear change was needed.
Enter Lou Anarumo, the former Bengals defensive architect behind the cool 2021 Super Bowl run and, more recently, the fall guy for one of the worst defenses I’ve ever seen. Anarumo was in the college ranks before I was born, coaching at Wagner, Syracuse, and Merchant Marine (lol) before getting a call to work as the assistant head coach at Harvard. A decade in the Big 10 led to his NFL break as the defensive backs coach when Joe Philbin got the top job for the Phins, as they had worked together for brief stints at Merchant Marine Academy and Harvard. Anarumo was an interim DC for Miami, then dropped back to DBs coach until a confusing firing by Adam Gase, despite the Dolphins fielding a relatively strong secondary behind Reshad Jones, an ascending Xavien Howard, and an underrated Bobby McCain. He spent one more year with the Giants padding his resume before being called up by Zac Taylor to coordinate the Bengals in some classic cronyism: Taylor was Philbin’s QB coach in Miami and knew Lou well. In the early days with the Bengals, Anarumo made stars out of previously-unheralded talent: he reignited D.J. Reader’s disruption at nose and made him a top DT in football, he got the most out of Chidobe Awuzie after a Dallas flameout, he coached Jessie Bates into one of the best safeties in football, and he got top tier play out of Sam Hubbard and the reigning NFL DPOY Trey Hendrickson. It all peaked when Anarumo shockingly pulled the rug out from under Patrick Mahomes in the 2021 AFC championship game, suddenly rushing just three players on most of his plays and STILL sacking Mahomes 4 times by letting the edges go wild and conceding the run. The Chiefs would change their entire OL strategy for the next three years as a result. Then the Bengals Bengaled: contract stinginess led Bates out the door, injuries to Reader and Awuzie with no real replacements led to their departure, and Hendrickson spent this entire offseason in a massive and angry holdout. Anarumo held it together until he couldn’t, and his 2024 defense was atrocious. You’ll see in future week previews, but I have never seen a weaker front 7 than Cincinnati’s 2024 squad. Anarumo was visibly pissed every game. He went from hot head coach name in 2023 to a “parting of ways” just a year later. The Colts pounced on Anarumo, with a team article singing his praises for what they hope is increased aggression and a more versatile scheme. With a history of complicated and adaptable coverages, Anarumo fits the bill here. Miami will face a total unknown when it comes to Indianapolis’s scheme, and that’s just the way Lou Anarumo likes it. Time will tell if the 58-year-old on perhaps his last coaching stop will be able to build something like he did in Cincinnati.
Offense
As mentioned in the coaching and QB sections, Indianapolis is at a crossroads offensively, and their personnel are somewhat cobbled together. The skill positions are underrated these days thanks to the QB turnover and the RPO-heavy scheme. Jonathan Taylor, once a giant Guy The Dolphins Missed On, had a rough season in the efficiency metrics: his 4.7 yards per carry and 11 TDs were just fine, but his 2.68 yards after contact were good for 43rd in the league out of 57 qualifiers, which is not what you want from a bruiser like him. He rushed for more than 15 yards on 17 plays for 510 yards, which indicates that the counting stats are a bit inflated by some explosives. He is also a garbage receiver, his .5 yards per route run and 270 yards on 18 catches indicating real troubles. He also scored very poorly in PFF’s proprietary RB Elusiveness rating. In an abbreviated 2023, he was much better, with more of his yards coming without explosives and a 3.12 yards after contact metric. Paid as a #1 receiver in the 2024 offseason, Michael Pittman had a sad 69 catch, 808 yard, 3 TD season. The Colts worked to target him, sending 106 his way, but errant throws led to a 1.86 yards per route run mark, far from what you want from a #1 target. Of his 106 targets, 28 of them were contested, the 14th highest mark in the league, and he pulled down a respectable 15 of them. You won’t mistake Pittman for explosive, and he may be best as part of a duo, but there are far worse receivers to hang your hat on. The Colts appear to be running back their 2024 receiving corps, and that’s not exciting, but they weren’t awful: Josh Downs is an excellent slot who caught 72 passes for 803 and 5 TDs, with the 23rd best YAC average out of 109 qualifiers. He suffered from poor ball placement, but the kid has some of the quickest feet you’ll see. Alec Pierce is a bonafide deep ball specialist, going from 21st in 2022, to 11th in 2023, to 1st in yards per catch in 2024. He’ll get blanked in some games (held catchless against Denver and Tennessee, and under 20 yards against Pittsburgh, Miami, Houston, and New England) but actually led the team in receiving yards on just 37 catches. Leave him open at your own peril. Last year’s second round pick A.D. Mitchell figures in here too as a hopeful contributor: he caught less than 50% of his targets, and was never on the same page as Richardson. The wild card is Tyler Warren, this year’s newest TE freak. Warren did it all for the playoff qualifying Penn State, racking up 104 catches for 1233 yards and 8 TDs with rushing production to boot. He was NFL.com’s #1 TE in all categories. He’s already been compared to Antonio Gates by Steichen. He got in the first preseason game and grabbed 3 passes for 40. Warren may already be a #1 option for this team after TEs did little for the Colts last year.
On the offensive line, a traditionally stout front has officially aged or priced out. Top reserve lineman Mark Glowinski, starting C Ryan Kelly, and surprisingly effective RG Will Fries headed to free agency, with Minnesota pouncing on the latter two while Glowinski contemplates retirement. Kelly is the epitome of consistency in play, but missed time for the second straight year last year and looked a step slow as a result. He’s a classic from the golden days of the Colts OL, and will be replaced by his backup last year, Tanor Bortolini (who is hard not to call Banner Tortellini). Tortellini struggled a bit in physical games versus the Jets and Bills, but was basically fine through his chunk of the season. It’s a loss of leadership more than anything. Fries was a surprisingly effective starter in 5 games last year before breaking his leg against Jacksonville and missing the season. The guard found a new gear in the run game, earning PFF’s 5th best grade in that phase and the 4th best grade overall. It was enough to get the Vikings to invest the 10th largest annual guard contract in a one-quarter-of-one-year wonder, and it’s clear that the Colts balked at that level of money for a guy they saw one small spurt of elite play from. Matt Goncalves will move from swing tackle into that RG spot after spending his rookie year looking pretty bad in pass blocking at RT. Goncalves looked particularly worse for the wear in the awful Giants loss, letting Brian Burns rack up 5 pressures on the day. Guard should take the pressure off, but it’s clear the interior line is less strong than it was in 2024. Quenton Nelson had a return to form last year, playing the full season and having his best run blocking season since he looked like the best guard in the league in 2020. Having a healthy Nelson will hopefully take pressure off of the young starters next to him. RT Braden Smith is a total wildcard after bailing for much of last year to receive treatment for an OCD diagnosis that manifested in religious fervor. You simply have to hope that isn’t CTE-related, but Smith said it’s been a struggle through his life, and his openness to discussing treatment is good for the league as a whole. 2024 was a setback for a player who has been excellent while on the field, if hurt a bit more often. Smith is a decent pass protector, but adds a different dimension of physicality. Bernhard Raimann is the last player to discuss, and the coolest as his success story comes via the international route: Raimann was born and raised in Austria, and went to Central Michigan of all places after an exchange trip with a family of CMU football alums. The Chippewas started Raimann at TE, but as his weight kept climbing, they placed him at tackle and he blew up the NFL combine. Raimann has honed his technique every year and, while his $100 million extension is a little rich, he has been a dependable player in both phases. The Colts still boast 3 upper-echelon NFL starters on their OL, and are seeing what they have in two more.
Defense
It’s a pretty uninspiring group for Lou Anarumo to turn around, and on August 13th (the day I am drafting this), just 4 of the 11 starters aren’t questionable with some kind of ailment. First, the optimism: the Colts have a pretty cool defensive line. DeForest Buckner was hurt through the first half of 2024, but exploded back with 14 pressures in his first 3 weeks back. Buckner is an every-down type player who is near the top in his PFF grades every year. He has an argument for the most consistent pass rusher in the league: before his 35 pressure 2024 due to injury (still with 6.5 sacks), he had 50+ pressures in 6 of 8 years, with 49 and 48 in the other 2. Consistent! Grover Stewart has been well worth his contract extensions next to Buckner: a less capable pass rusher, his 38 run stops tied a career high last year and was tied with Zach Allen for 5th in the league. The players above him (Cam Heyward, Jeffrey Simmons, Leonard Williams, and Kobie Turner) are all stars or on their way to it. The Colts demand interior lines play with power or it’s a long day. The edge has been more of a difficulty for the Colts, and it is the key reason for a coaching change. Kwity Paye has never lived up to his 1st round billing, and probably has just one more year to prove he has juice. The Colts picked up his 5th year option, but no extension has come yet: he has yet to match his 39 pressures as a rookie, but sets the edge adequately with the interior defense helping him a bit there. Laiatu Latu was a solid addition in the first round last year, manning the other edge spot with 38 pressures of his own. Latu is less of a power player, but has great tools and bend. He had a medical retirement in 2021 for a neck injury, similar to the one experienced by Jaelan Phillips in college. He’s an ascending player, so much so that the Colts let Dayo Odeyingbo (their 2024 pressures leader) go without matching a reasonable contract offer from the Bears. Samson Ebukam and Tyquan Lewis will back up the edges and work in the rotation: both have been in Indy and been just fine on their snaps.
This is where things get dicey. The Colts return Zaire Franklin as their middle LB. Franklin was the classic player who looked exciting on limited snaps and then struggled to make an impact in the starting lineup. He’s a tackling machine, with ESPN crediting him for the 4th most tackles in 2022, 2nd in 2023, and 1st in 2024. But he has allowed a QB rating of more than 100 in his coverage every season, and looks bad doing it. E.J. Speed, a similarly bad coverage LB, took his redundant skillset to Houston, so the Colts will put Joe Bachie, Segun Olubi and Cameron McGrone next to Franklin. Olubi has 136 career snaps (I’ve never seen even one, though he apparently shut Miami down last year) and McGrone has 9. Bachie is the current starter, and his 238 career snaps with 37 tackles under Anarumo in Cincy leave much to be desired. Last year’s rookie Jaylon Carlies got some run, and missed few tackles but was relatively blah. The secondary features the most turnover: the Colts took a gamble on Charvarius Ward after a lost season in San Francisco last year. Ward has been open about his struggles after losing his first child to heart issues. Ward said he “did not give a fuck” about football in 2024, which is both understandable and did show up on tape. Ward is a lengthy shutdown CB, part of the first great Mahomes teams of the late 2010s and could be a real difference-maker in Indy. The other two CBs are returners: Jaylon Jones turned in a nice 2024 after a rough rookie season, holding opposing QBs to a 85.8 rating after a 106.6 in 2023. A large part of that was allowing just 1 TD. He allowed just 2 catches for 6 yards against Miami last year, and was knocking the shit out of receivers. Hill and Waddle combined for 2 catches for 19 yards in the Colts game. Then, in August, a revelation at the position occurred with the Colts pulling Xavien Howard out of semi-retirement. After two years agitating to be paid his worth, the 32-year-old took the veteran minimum to give football one more try after his release from Miami. PFF didn’t care for him in 2023 or 2024, but Howard is a playmaker regardless of INT numbers (2 in 2022 and 2023 combined compared to 15 in 2020 and 2021). He still had 19 pass breakups over his last two seasons combined compared to 17 in the excellent seasons prior. When we last saw Xavien Howard, he was capable, and he will be starting Sunday. Kenny Moore II has gone from undrafted to one of the best slot players in the league, with 3 INTs in each of the last two years. He’s pesky as hell and it shows up on tape. The corners could be an asset or a liability this year depending on how you read Ward and Howard. The Colts signed the consistent Cam Bynum away from Minnesota to be their speedy deep back S and they return Nick Cross after an excellent tackling year in the box. In large part, the personnel screams traditional in Indy: two rushing DEs with good fundamentals, mean DTs, tough tackling LBs, a classic SS and FS, and three corners with ideal size and length for their position. The personnel is boring, and relatively pedestrian once you get past the line.
Special Teams
The Colts released kicker Matt Gay after two years of relative underperformance given that he signed the largest kicker contract in history in 2023. Gay was perfect inside of 50 last year, but just 3/9 past it. Spencer Shrader will instead kick after a perfect 5/5 season on 3 teams last year. He has no kicks beyond 50 yards, and is married to the transphobic soccer lady who he met while at Notre Dame. Every missed kick of his is a blessing. Punter Rigoberto Sanchez is, meanwhile, a cool dude who set his career high in hangtime and 2nd best number of kicks inside the 20 last season. He has had a 60 yard punt every season of his career, including a long of 79 in 2021 after Brandon Aiyuk inexplicably kicked the ball away and was given a touchback instead of a safety for some reason. Colts special teams were mediocre: the aforementioned Olubi and most recent Guy Who Called Miami Soft Grant Stuard were the aces and they kind of didn’t tackle so good on punts, but whatever. Downs and Ashton Dulin handle returns, and both are quick and effective.
Game Prediction
Week 1 is always hard to predict, as both teams are trotting out some question marks and hoping to replicate what they did well while plugging difficult holes. On Miami, the offensive line has hopefully improved, the secondary and TE are liabilities, and there’s a need to get explosives going. For the Colts, a new look defense hopefully looks good while the line play is still a clear advantage agains. Is this one a dogfight or a dogwalk?
Here are the matchups I’ll be watching:
- The Dolphins edge rushers, who should be a strength of this team, face two very capable tackles in a matchup of pure strength-on-strength. If there’s anywhere in what’s sure to be a sloppy game to look like real, exciting NFL football, it’s here.
- The Dolphins were one of the least explosive teams in football last year and led the league in offensive plays for negative yardage by a good margin. Buckner and Stewart will win their share of negative plays, but can Miami scheme up explosives against a team that tackles well and is coached by an accomplished DC? Finding those explosives will be important if the Dolphins are to score more than the pathetic 10 points they managed against a worse version of the Colts defense last year. Waddle and Hill will be pressed while the defensive line will seek to decapitate Achane.
- Will Daniel Jones, be able to keep up a solid rate of explosive plays against Miami? The question here is in the fundamentals: can Miami play disciplined in the secondary and force turnovers and/or stops, or will they find themselves behind early as the Colts start fast?
- Is Miami physical enough with their new offensive and defensive interior to win some battles upfront, or is it another year of Miami being pushed around?
Ultimately, in what seems to be a toss-up game, you go to some old adages. The team that protects the QB and avoids turnovers best will probably win this one. Miami’s quick-fire offense is probably able to keep the ball out on time to protect Tua and Tua is simply the better QB in this game. If you’re going purely by professionalism at the most important position, this isn’t a game you’d ever pick Indianapolis to win. The messier this game gets, the better it is for the Colts: if neither team scores 20 points, you can bet the slop benefits the home team and the more traditionally tough guy one. FanDuel favors the Colts by 1.5 points and, as home field advantage typically gets you 3 points your way, they slightly favor the Dolphins. Indeed, PFF’s Implied Win Probability, a tool that measures their own view of the market with their model, puts the Dolphins at a 49.6% chance to win and the Colts at a 50.3%, with .1% dedicated to a tie. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen such a tossup, more a shrugfest than slugfest, in a while. The market also sets the points scored by both teams combined at 46.5, tied for 4th highest score of the 16 games. Thus, I call this one in the air: Miami wins if both teams do score that high. Do you trust Tua to deliver 24 points or do you trust Jones/Richardson? I’ll go with the track record.
Dolphins 24-20
Season Record: 0-0
